UFC 110 Velasquez v. Nogueira

This heavyweight battle is billed as a match of an up and comer versus a wily veteran. The UFC is really hyping Velasquez, the good ol' marketing machine, but here is the straight facts. Nogueira has KO power and Velasquez doesn't. Velasquez may be a workaholic and a wrestler, but Nogueira has submitted bigger and stronger wrestlers. Velasquez was nearly knocked out by Cheick Kongo, so he has a suspect chin and you can't hide that for long. Nogueira can take a punch to deliver damage and he will be prepared by Anderson Silva so he will have the best tactics and the best conditioning. My system predicts Nogueira to win, by whatever Velasquez gives up first.