UFC 106 Carwin v. Lesnar

Carwin v. Lesnar - This is a close battle.  After analyzing this contest, it is clear that Carwin is more rounded and from a better camp so he will be prepared. If Lesnar can make this a ground and pound clinic then he is still stronger and that might be all it takes. Carwin can use his larger arsenal of skills to frustrate Lesnar while he is running in.  The problem with bulky muscle is after a while they tire a lot faster than lean muscle so this will either be quick or slow. My system indicates that Lesnar is mentally weaker than Carwin and predicts a Carwin victory with a moderate margin.